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Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys , Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events.

Predictions are updated every Thursday. Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below: OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS 2025 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Screenplay Weekly Commentary (Updated Aug. 8, 2024) : Originality often plays a significant role in this category, which frequently aligns with the best picture race.



Sean Baker could finally receive recognition with his dark comedy “Anora.” At the same time, the prestige of the World War II epic “Blitz” and the musical “Emilia Pérez” are likely to be at the forefront of voters’ minds. The “x factor” in this race is Jason Reitman’s “Saturday Night,” a film that delves into the first episode of the long-running NBC sketch show “Saturday Night Live” with an impressive acting ensemble.

Reitman hasn’t been nominated since his work on “Juno” (in directing) and “Up in the Air” (double nominated for adapted screenplay and directing). Could this be the year he makes his return to the awards circuit? More to come. Read : All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit .

The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The full rankings are below. All movie listings, titles, distributors, and credited producers are not final and are subject to change.

** denotes the film is not yet dated or can open in 2025. Read : You can see all Academy Award predictions in all 23 categories on one page on the Variety Awards Circuit: Oscars . And the Predicted Nominees Are Next in Line Other Contenders ** This list is incomplete and not yet finalized.

Not all films have distribution or release dates. All are subject to change. 2024 category winner : “Anatomy of a Fall” (Neon) — Arthur Harari & Justine Triet 2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change) Oscars Prediction Categories About the Academy Awards The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry.

Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented within the nearly 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and writers.

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