NEW YORK , Oct. 31, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Axis My America (AMA) , a leading consumer intelligence company, has released its United States Presidential Election 2024 Prediction based on an extensive national survey. The report, covering about 9593 respondents across all 50 states & District of Columbia , projects that Republican candidate Donald Trump holds a slight edge with 49% Popular Vote and an estimated 291 ( + 15) electoral votes, compared to Democratic candidate Kamala Harris 's 48% Popular vote and 247 ( + 15) electoral votes.
Michigan , Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are the states with very close fight which could swing 15 electoral votes to either party. The survey utilized a comprehensive methodology, incorporating face-to-face interviews and direct panel interactions to capture genuine voter sentiment and analyze key issues shaping the election. The Prediction Model is notably a Harvard Business Case Study and has an accuracy rate of 92% in the last 12 years while calling 76 elections including 3 General elections.
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