Findings A UCLA research team has created the Comorbid Operative Risk Evaluation (CORE) score to better account for the role chronic illness plays in patient's risk of mortality after operation, allowing surgeons to adjust to patients' pre-existing conditions and more easily determine mortality risk. Background For almost 40 years, researchers have used two tools, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI), to measure the impact of existing health conditions on patient outcomes. These tools use ICD codes that are input by medical professionals and billers to account for patient illness.

These tools, however, were not designed for patients undergoing surgery and often address chronic illnesses that are not relevant to surgical populations. They often capture data from medical billing records and lack nuanced information regarding pre-existing health conditions. Method A total of 699,155 patients were used to develop the model, of which 139,831 (20%) comprised the testing cohort.

The researchers queried adults undergoing 62 operations across 14 specialties from the 2019 National Inpatient Sample (NIS) using International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) codes. They sorted ICD-10 codes for chronic diseases into Clinical Classifications Software Refined (CCSR) groups. They used logistic regression on CCSR with non-zero feature importance across four machine learning algorithms predicting in-hospital mortality, and used the result.