Polling 'Nostradamus' who predicted Kamala Harris to win the 2024 election reveals if an 'October surprise' will impact the race READ MORE: Presidential election 'Nostradamus' who has correctly predicted almost every winner for 40 years reveals 2024 pick By Stephen M. Lepore For Dailymail.Com Published: 00:40, 7 October 2024 | Updated: 00:40, 7 October 2024 e-mail View comments Historian Allan Lichtman said that a so-called October surprise would not make him back off his prediction that Kamala Harris will beat Donald Trump in November.
The American University professor, 77, has fashioned his own election model that has correctly forecast every presidential winner since 1984. He announced in early September that Harris has met the critical objectives for victory and predicted she would beat Trump and now he denies the idea that any sort of surprise between now and November 5 would change that. 'One of the greatest myths of American politics is the October surprise.
I have never changed my prediction in response to an October surprise,' he said. An October surprise historically refers to a significant news event that takes place in the closing weeks of a presidential campaign. Historian Allan Lichtman said that a so-called October surprise would not make him back off his prediction that Kamala Harris will beat Donald Trump in November Lichtman relies on an unorthodox system - ignoring the polls and pundits - based on what he calls '13 keys' to the White House , a model he deve.