Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys , Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events.
Predictions are updated every Thursday. Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below: OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS 2025 Oscars Predictions: Best Original Screenplay Weekly Commentary (Updated Aug. 8, 2024) : Originality often plays a significant role in this category, which frequently aligns with the best picture race.
Sean Baker could finally receive recognition with his dark comedy “Anora.” At the same time, the prestige of the World War II epic “Blitz” and the musical “Emilia Pérez” are likely to be at the forefront of voters’ minds. The “x factor” in this race is Jason Reitman’s “Saturday Night,” a film that delves into the first episode of the long-running NBC sketch show “Saturday Night Live” with an impressive acting ensemble.
Reitman hasn’t been nominated since his work on “Juno” (in directing) and “Up in the Air” (double nominated for adapted screenplay and directing). Could.