Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys , Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events.

Predictions are updated every Thursday. Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below: OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS 2025 Oscars Predictions: All Categories Weekly Commentary (Updated Sept. 23, 2024) : The buzz surrounding films showcased at the Venice, Telluride, and Toronto film festivals has started to clarify which titles may dominate this year’s awards season.

Though it’s still early, specific patterns and historical Oscar trends provide useful insights into how the race might unfold. One of the big winners out of Venice was Pedro Almodóvar’s “The Room Next Door,” which took home the prestigious Golden Lion. This marks a significant boost for the film, as winning at Venice is often a stepping stone toward Oscar glory.

Past Golden Lion winners like “Nomadland” and “Roma” went on to perform exceptionally well at the Academy Awards, setting a solid precedent for Almodóvar’s latest work. At TIFF, Mik.