The Bottom Line September has been quite a month of weather so far. On the one hand, practically every single day has been spectacularly sunny, delightfully dry, and wonderfully warm. On the other hand, most of the state has only seen a few hundredths of an inch of rain this month.

That puts us 1.5 to 2 inches below normal, month-to-date. Once again causing drought and wildfire danger concerns to spiral.

That is why this week's chance of rain is a good thing. We will take every drop we can get. An area of low pressure — which I am calling a "tropical rainstorm" for now — will make landfall along the South Carolina coast late Monday.

It will then track over the Virginias before falling apart. As pieces of energy slide through New Jersey, we will see a few rounds of rain, centered on Wednesday. And, with tropical moisture in play, pockets of heavy stuff are possible.

There is still quite a bit of uncertainty regarding a few details: Exact rainfall totals, storm exit timing, and whether it will become a full-fledged named tropical storm. Let's run through what we know and what we don't, so you can plan your last week of summer accordingly. Monday Even though we are starting to see some change to our sky and sea, Monday will be another perfectly pleasant weather day from start to finish.

Monday morning begins with temperatures in the 40s in spots, 50s for most, and 60s along the coast. Pretty much status quo so far this month — it's crisp, it's cool, it's nice. High tempera.